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Opening day and beyond: Just how good are the 2008 Cards?
Posted Tuesday, April 1, at 11:58 AM
For a team picked to finish somewhere between mediocrity and the bottom of the barrel, we can say for this certainty about the 2008 St. Louis Cardinals: they looked pretty good for about three innings on Monday, didn't they?

The catch by outfielder Skip Schumaker, the bases-loaded double by Rick Ankiel to drive in a couple, Yadier Molina going the opposite way to drive in another two, Albert Pujols being Albert Pujols. But thanks to the rain, it's as if it never happened.

Many of the players and fans may like to pretend the 2007 season never happened but tonight on the Busch Stadium mound will be a vivid reminder. Kip Wells gets the start for the Colorado Rockies. In case you need a refresher, it's the same pitcher that went 7-17 with a 5.70 ERA for the Cardinals last season. Let's hope he picks up right where he left off.

I'm torn over this 2008 edition of Cardinals baseball. There are signs this should be a better club than last year but other things of the team are still troubling.

One thing that amuses me - all these references to the "kids" and the "youth" of the Cardinals. While there are certainly new faces to be seen in Busch Stadium this year (and more are on the way) - this is not a club that exactly smells like teen spirit.

As proof, I offer evidence contained in the Sunday St. Louis Post-Dispatch:

Average age:

* 2004 Cardinals - 30.7

* 2005 Cardinals - 29.7

* 2006 Cardinals - 29.6

* 2007 Cardinals - 29.6

And the New Kids on the Block - the Baby Birds of 2008? The average is 30.2 years of age. Hard to get younger when your pitching staff features 39-year old Russ Springer and 38-year old Ron Villone.

The youth movement may be coming, but right now, it's more perception than reality. And with a skipper in charge who's mantra is frequently the 60's generation in reverse - never trust anyone under 30 - it may take a while for reality to catch up.

The reality of the past few seasons is that the NL Central has been baseball's weakest division. But there are signs that's changing.

Baseball Prospectus has the Cubs winning 91 games this year - that's second in the NL only behind the New York Mets. BP forecasts the Brewers to win 88 - that would be good enough for the Wild Card spot and the third best record in the league should their crystal ball prove accurate.

With the Cubs and Brewers the new forces in the Central, that leaves former powers St. Louis (projected win total - 75) and Houston (projected win total - 72) looking up, way up.

I guess it's a hunch more than anything else, but I think the Cardinals starting staff will be better, maybe much better, than last year. Expectations are so low, it's hard to see how they can underperform. And with a little luck and good health, the rotation to end the season should look dramatically different than the one that starts it.

Play .500 ball or slightly better to the All-Star break and they've got a shot - maybe not at a division title but at least the wildcard.

But just as expectations can be set too low for the starting staff, I think they could be set too high for the bullpen. No one seems to talk that much about this part of the club, as if last year's performance can be easily repeated. I would argue it's not.

Russ Springer turns 40 in November. You think he can repeat his 2.18 ERA?

I recall reading somewhere that Ryan Frankin's ERA was 1.21 the first two months of last season. I don't see that happening again, either.

Closer Jason Isringhausen is 35 years old and a little more than a year recovered from hip surgery. On the left side of the bullpen are the aforementioned Vallone and Randy Flores - two lefties that strike fear in the heart of no one.

I see this team looking for bullpen help no later than July - especially from the left side.

I see better offense and defense from the starting eight, better performances from the starters, but a much weaker bullpen. Hard to see that as a postseason formula unless they make some changes.

I'll take the Brewers to win the Central, the Mets to win the East, and the Dodgers and new manager Joe Torre (and opening day starting baseman Blake DeWitt) to win the West. The Arizona Diamondbacks are my pick for the wildcard.



Cardinals baseball - the Bad News Bears
Posted Thursday, February 28, at 9:34 AM

Since the St. Louis Cardinals won the 2006 World Series, has there been a single good news story about this team that you really wanted to read and had anything to do with a game? Spring training 2007 brought news of Tony La Russa's DUI arrest. The opening night of the season saw Chris Carpenter on the mound -- never to be seen from again after a season-ending injury...



Spygate: the other non-scandal
Posted Monday, February 18, at 9:29 AM

We have two great alleged sports scandals now in America. One involves who injected what into someone's rear end a decade ago. The other matter so important it requires congressional attention involves who videotaped what over the past decade. Here's the deal. You can videotape NFL football games. You can steal signs from the sidelines. You just can't mix the stealing with the video. Got that?...



A letter to Roger Clemens
Posted Friday, February 15, at 8:50 AM

To: Roger Clemens From: Anonymous Major League Athlete Hey Rog, Dude, WTF!!?? All I know is what I see on ESPN but it looks like you got roughed up a bit the other day on Capitol Hill. Some of those lawmakers really know how to play hardball...



College football recruiting - myths and reality
Posted Monday, January 28, at 11:52 AM

Coming off a 1979 season in which they finished with a 7-5 record and a victory in the Hall of Fame Bowl, the Missouri Tigers signed 23 high school and junior college recruits to letters of intent. Fourteen of the 23 hailed from the Show-Me state, including three players from Southeast Missouri: Kerry Holloway and Kip Hamby from Cape Central and running back Darrel Williams from East Prairie...



What's the $$ impact of a sports franchise? How 'bout zero?
Posted Monday, January 21, at 10:06 AM

That's right. Zero. Zilch. Nada. At least that's the argument being put forth by the Seattle SuperSonics. Owners of the NBA franchise want to relocate the team to Oklahoma City. Stuck in a lease arrangement on a city-owned arena through 2010, owners are resorting to a unique form of economic warfare in order to get their way...



Rolen for Glaus?
Posted Saturday, January 12, at 4:21 PM

Update: Glaus will be in St. Louis Monday for his physical. The St. Louis Cardinals and Toronto Blue Jays are discussing swapping third basemen - Scott Rolen for Troy Glaus. The story at the Post-Dispatch here. Ken Rosenthal says both former All-Stars must pass physicals before the deal is completed...



Football is not a track meet - Mizzou slaughters Hogs
Posted Wednesday, January 2, at 8:29 AM

Arkansas strong safety Matt Hewitt -- Wednesday, December 26th in the Northwest Arkansas Times -- on playing against Missouri. "They're going to get a rude awakening Jan. 1, because they're going to see the press man and a lot of blitz schemes coming after them. They forget they're going against an SEC team."...



The Ryan Willen show
Posted Saturday, December 29, at 7:59 AM

He scored his team's first nine points of the game. He scored Notre Dame's first 15 points of the third quarter. He scored from inside. He scored from outside - two three-pointers - and he scored from the free throw line: 12 out of 13 from the charity stripe. He scored 40 of his team's 70 points...



Why don't NFL players get asterisks?
Posted Sunday, December 16, at 11:30 AM

The topic was the Mitchell report and illegal drug use in Major League Baseball. The question came on ESPN radio Friday morning from Sean Salisbury to Peter Gammons: Should fans feel betrayed by the players mentioned in the report? Part of Gammons' answer -- do NFL fans feel betrayed by Shawne Merriman?...



About Mike
Author of the acclaimed sports book about Bootheel basketball, "Show-Me Kings", Mike Mitchell understands who the local legends are and what makes area sports thrilling.
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